Would DSGE Models Have Predicted the Great Recession in Austria?

Unemployment in the Great Recession

This paper studies the responses of unemployment in Germany, the United States and Britain to the Great Recession of 2008-09 by making use of Beveridge curve analysis, and in the entire OECD with other techniques. It is shown that Britain suffered from recession but no structural problems; the United States suffered from structural unemployment during the recovery; Germany exhibited a much bett...

Churning in the Great Recession

Churning in the Great Recession I widely appreciated that geographic mobility slowed dramatically with the Great Recession. This slowdown arose, so it’s argued, because too often owners were trapped in houses that were underwater or otherwise difficult to sell. Because they couldn’t move, they couldn’t take advantage of jobs that might be available in less depressed regions, and our labor marke...

The Great Recession and Entrepreneurship

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Evidence from the Great Recession

Breaks in DSGE models

In this paper, we investigate the consequences of breaks in mean for the estimates of model parameters and the resulting inferences about the structure of the economy and policy implications. We explore the behavior of DSGE models that undergo occasional, but permanent shocks to the parameters that determine their steady state. We present a method for approximating the state space representatio...